William Katz:  Urgent Agenda

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THE CONTINUING CRUMBLING – OVERNIGHT:  As more and more political information comes in, we can say, with our usual caution about polls, that the president of the United States is in serious trouble, and the anguish isn't coming only from the usual conservative sources.    From bizpacreview.com: 

It’s mourning, rather than morning, in America, if a new poll from the Morning Consult organization is accurate that the country is perceived as headed in the wrong direction.

In a lengthy national tracking survey co-sponsored with the generally liberal Politico website, almost two-thirds of Americans indicated that things in the U.S. have “pretty seriously gotten off on the wrong track.” The same number, 61 percent, disapprove of President Joe Biden’s handling of the Afghanistan crisis.

And 49 percent disapprove of Biden’s overall job performance, while 47 percent approve, which The Hill noted is a “record low.”

Among various other findings, the same percentage (49 percent) disapprove of Biden’s stewardship of the economy as well as his “gun policy,” and 65 percent disapprove of his handling of immigration per se (although the survey question does not specifically allude to the staggering numbers of illegal aliens allowed to pour across the U.S.-Mexico border.)

In general, critics have often questioned pollsters’ methodology, with good reason, in the context of oversampling Democrats for ideological and other reasons.

This particular survey demographic was somewhat more leaning Democrat than Republican (45 percent to 42 percent), with the rest apparently in some other category, but the findings as constituted, and if accurate, don’t necessarily spare the Biden administration from a dismal outlook.

With an acknowledged margin of error of two percent, either way, the data was derived from checking the political temperature of about 2,000 registered voters.

Registered voters, as opposed to, e.g., likely voters, have traditionally been considered a less-valid metric of public opinion, however.

According to Morning Consult, 50 percent either strongly or somewhat supported Biden’s decision to withdraw troops from Afghanistan, but 72 percent indicated that it’s not going too well, or not well at all.

COMMENT:  An important note.  We're getting a great deal of good news about prospects for our side in next year's election.  This story is part of that news.  The news might not continue.  By the time of the 2022 midterms, the Afghanistan debacle will be more than a year old.  Who knows what will replace it?  An economic collapse?  An economic boom?   A President Harris? 

The misfortune of an opponent doesn't necessarily mean good fortune for us.  In races around the country our current position is so-so.  Gavin Newsom looks likely to beat his recall challenge in California, denying Republicans a shot at turning the golden state red.  In Virginia, if current trends continue, Democrats will hang onto the governor's mansion in November.  Governor Ron DeSantis has suffered a sizable plunge in approval in Florida.  And Even Texas is uncertain.

We will have to fight for every vote.  Despite growing discontent with liberal policies, we are facing a vast financial machine, backed by overwhelming support in the mainstream media.  Take nothing for granted.  The Democrats will run fear campaigns, which often work.

September 2, 2021